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Red58
212237.3
96679.4
271823.1
Blue64
120924.9
602622.4
208323.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5960405070805864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.0
30.130.1
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End5.1
red by 12.4
1209
#13
24.91.1
18.019.1
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End0.2
Second
2718
#30
23.10.0
19.319.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.1
End1.2
blue by 0.7
23.91.2
18.319.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Third
9667
#36
9.40.3
9.49.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
blue by 13.0
22.41.2
12.613.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed