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Red41
241010.5
31637.7
460322.0
Blue79
233321.7
237325.1
501329.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4176020601001204179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#21
22.00.0
19.819.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 7.7
5013
#16
29.70.9
27.228.1
Auto10.5
Teleop17.5
End1.7
Second
2410
#37
10.50.0
11.111.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 14.6
2373
#19
25.11.6
18.019.5
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Third
3163
#47
7.70.0
10.310.3
Auto6.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
blue by 14.0
2333
#27
21.70.9
19.820.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed