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Red60
3124.0
940128.7
74649.9
Blue72
181919.2
664726.0
120924.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556302040801001201406072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#12
28.70.5
23.323.8
Auto11.5
Teleop15.3
End1.9
red by 2.8
6647
#10
26.01.1
22.323.3
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End0.7
Second
31
#9
24.00.5
18.619.1
Auto11.2
Teleop10.8
End1.9
blue by 0.9
1209
#13
24.91.1
18.920.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End0.2
Third
7464
#43
9.90.8
9.29.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 9.3
1819
#22
19.21.1
15.116.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed