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Red52
946215.8
602622.4
77447.0
Blue69
235915.6
393121.5
949522.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3857020801005269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.0
18.919.9
Auto8.9
Teleop11.1
End2.4
blue by 0.1
22.51.3
17.418.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.6
End2.7
Second
9462
#41
15.81.0
13.614.6
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End0.6
blue by 5.7
3931
#34
21.51.3
18.019.3
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
7744
#46
7.01.0
4.25.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End0.8
blue by 8.7
2359
#35
15.61.3
14.115.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed