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Red48
96679.4
277315.0
216517.4
Blue42
808613.9
97018.1
511919.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34440204060804842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2165
#11
17.41.1
15.516.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End2.1
blue by 2.2
5119
#33
19.60.2
17.217.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Second
2773
#23
15.01.1
9.610.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 1.1
8086
#26
13.90.4
12.713.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
9667
#36
9.41.8
6.88.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
red by 1.3
9701
#48
8.10.4
8.89.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed