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Red48
97018.1
233321.7
555023.3
Blue82
588919.3
120924.9
946215.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575945505565707580854882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#25
23.30.4
22.121.7
Auto10.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 1.6
1209
#13
24.90.6
20.020.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End0.2
Second
2333
#27
21.70.4
20.720.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 2.4
19.30.6
18.819.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
9701
#48
8.10.7
9.28.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 7.7
9462
#41
15.80.6
14.615.2
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed