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Red66
808613.9
241010.5
5934.8
Blue49
235915.6
74649.9
511919.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694402060801001206649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#4
34.80.0
35.235.1
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 15.2
5119
#33
19.60.1
17.417.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Second
8086
#26
13.90.0
13.113.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
blue by 1.8
2359
#35
15.60.1
15.415.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End1.2
Third
2410
#37
10.50.0
11.111.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 0.5
7464
#43
9.90.1
9.910.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed