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Red59
664726.0
949522.5
96679.4
Blue70
271823.1
940128.7
216517.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5468204060801001205970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#10
26.00.4
23.323.7
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End0.7
blue by 2.8
9401
#12
28.70.3
23.824.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.3
End1.9
Second
22.50.4
18.719.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.6
End2.7
blue by 0.6
2718
#30
23.10.3
19.419.8
Auto10.9
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Third
9667
#36
9.40.7
8.59.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
blue by 8.0
2165
#11
17.40.3
16.616.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed