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Red74
216517.4
588919.3
501329.7
Blue65
324717.7
680911.1
208323.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764902040601001201401607465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#16
29.70.2
29.129.3
Auto10.5
Teleop17.5
End1.7
red by 5.9
23.91.2
21.823.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Second
19.30.2
19.419.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 1.6
3247
#17
17.71.8
15.417.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
2165
#11
17.40.2
16.917.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End2.1
red by 6.3
6809
#32
11.11.2
10.111.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned