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Red66
450028.0
235915.6
241010.5
Blue83
940128.7
393121.5
31729.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585855606570756683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#20
28.00.1
26.025.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End1.5
blue by 0.7
9401
#12
28.71.7
24.125.8
Auto11.5
Teleop15.3
End1.9
Second
2359
#35
15.60.1
15.515.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 5.9
3931
#34
21.51.7
20.822.5
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
2410
#37
10.50.1
11.111.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 1.2
3172
#44
9.32.6
7.910.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed