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Red67
366011.2
602622.4
871113.0
Blue78
156132.5
181919.2
277315.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49652040801001201406778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.4
21.421.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.1
End2.4
blue by 10.1
32.51.4
28.029.4
Auto12.1
Teleop19.8
End0.6
Second
8711
#31
13.00.4
12.312.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
blue by 6.2
1819
#22
19.21.4
15.917.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Third
3660
#39
11.20.5
12.613.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.1
blue by 3.7
2773
#23
15.01.4
12.914.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed