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Red110
208323.9
949522.5
233321.7
Blue57
5934.8
97018.1
94725.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7450020406010012014011057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.1
23.024.1
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 10.9
59
#4
34.80.5
34.734.2
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Second
22.51.1
20.821.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 14.4
9701
#48
8.10.7
8.07.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Third
2333
#27
21.71.1
20.121.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 16.2
9472
#45
5.50.5
5.55.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed