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Red60
93527.8
271823.1
23955.3
Blue78
450028.0
501329.7
74649.9
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527502040601001201406078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#18
27.80.7
25.626.3
Auto11.7
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 1.9
5013
#16
29.70.5
29.329.8
Auto10.5
Teleop17.5
End1.7
Second
2718
#30
23.10.7
19.520.2
Auto10.9
Teleop11.1
End1.2
blue by 4.9
4500
#20
28.00.5
25.926.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End1.5
Third
2395
#40
5.30.7
4.95.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.1
blue by 4.6
7464
#43
9.90.8
9.810.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed