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Red43
680911.1
96679.4
393121.5
Blue54
664726.0
324717.7
241010.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4561020801001204354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#34
21.50.0
22.522.6
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 4.4
6647
#10
26.00.1
24.824.9
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End0.7
Second
6809
#32
11.10.0
11.311.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.8
blue by 6.6
3247
#17
17.70.1
17.217.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
9667
#36
9.40.1
8.68.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
blue by 1.1
2410
#37
10.50.1
11.011.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed