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Red59
94725.5
955119.0
233321.7
Blue55
808613.9
366011.2
212237.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4578020601001201401605955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#27
21.70.6
21.221.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 15.5
37.31.4
37.736.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Second
9551
#24
19.00.6
18.419.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 5.1
8086
#26
13.91.9
15.813.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
9472
#45
5.50.6
5.05.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 5.7
3660
#39
11.21.9
13.211.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsEarned