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Red43
92449.8
11826.9
35075.7
Blue76
317913.0
941016.4
173023.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4548304060704376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#5
26.90.1
27.227.0
Auto9.4
Teleop14.2
End3.3
red by 3.9
23.01.8
16.518.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
9244
#38
9.80.2
9.59.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 6.7
9410
#18
16.41.8
9.511.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End1.8
Third
3507
#34
5.70.2
8.28.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 7.3
3179
#27
13.01.8
13.415.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned