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Red30
23954.2
45239.3
316015.4
Blue17
68099.2
90074.7
203617.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323210204050603017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3160
#24
15.40.1
11.511.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 1.8
17.21.3
12.611.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Second
4523
#21
9.30.1
10.610.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.4
End0.2
red by 0.1
6809
#41
9.21.3
7.26.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End1.6
Third
2395
#42
4.20.1
7.37.4
Auto2.5
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 0.5
9007
#36
4.71.3
8.67.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed