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Red78
235911.9
441813.7
450024.1
Blue35
77446.7
66212.5
156116.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45320204060807835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.12.1
16.518.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
red by 7.8
1561
#28
16.30.5
13.814.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Second
4418
#17
13.72.1
12.114.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End0.4
red by 1.2
662
#26
12.50.5
9.610.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Third
2359
#29
11.92.1
10.312.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.5
red by 5.2
7744
#30
6.70.5
6.97.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed