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Red22
871110.2
40058.5
233318.8
Blue28
297211.0
216512.7
94725.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373301020506070802228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.2
12.911.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 6.1
2165
#40
12.70.2
12.512.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Second
8711
#19
10.21.2
8.67.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 0.9
2972
#22
11.00.2
10.910.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
4005
#35
8.51.2
11.610.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0
red by 3.3
9472
#32
5.20.2
6.76.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed