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Red37
96318.8
602612.6
588911.4
Blue43
346514.7
299619.9
3112.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801003743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6026
#31
12.60.1
13.613.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End1.3
blue by 7.4
2996
#11
19.90.4
13.814.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
5889
#39
11.40.1
11.711.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 3.3
3465
#20
14.70.4
14.214.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
9631
#43
8.80.1
10.410.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 3.5
31
#25
12.40.4
11.812.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed