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Red36
235911.9
346514.7
294517.7
Blue27
35075.7
68099.2
317913.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443102060801003627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#12
17.70.5
11.410.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
red by 4.7
3179
#27
13.00.8
14.613.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End1.8
Second
3465
#20
14.70.5
14.514.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 5.5
6809
#41
9.20.8
6.86.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End1.6
Third
2359
#29
11.90.5
12.411.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.5
red by 6.2
3507
#34
5.70.8
8.07.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed