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Red21
77446.7
23954.2
941016.4
Blue40
871110.2
441813.7
120918.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273701020304050602140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#18
16.40.5
9.49.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End1.8
blue by 1.6
1209
#10
18.00.3
10.310.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End0.9
Second
7744
#30
6.70.5
7.67.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 7.0
4418
#17
13.70.3
14.414.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End0.4
Third
2395
#42
4.20.5
8.47.9
Auto2.5
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 6.0
8711
#19
10.20.3
7.47.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed