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Red37
299619.9
946211.8
90074.7
Blue31
181914.9
92449.8
40058.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34332025304045503731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#11
19.90.1
16.716.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 5.0
1819
#14
14.90.1
11.811.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End0.6
Second
9462
#15
11.80.1
9.19.0
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End0.2
red by 2.0
9244
#38
9.80.1
9.39.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Third
9007
#36
4.70.1
5.25.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 3.8
4005
#35
8.50.1
9.39.3
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed