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Red12
27737.9
317913.0
871110.2
Blue52
941016.4
299619.9
316015.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3241010205060701252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#27
13.02.4
13.811.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End1.8
blue by 6.9
2996
#11
19.91.8
16.618.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
8711
#19
10.22.4
7.75.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 6.3
9410
#18
16.41.8
9.010.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End1.8
Third
2773
#37
7.92.4
8.25.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 7.5
3160
#24
15.41.8
10.612.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed