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Red36
588911.4
156116.3
68099.2
Blue45
233318.8
92449.8
90074.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330501001502003645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1561
#28
16.30.3
15.215.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End0.5
blue by 2.5
18.81.1
15.416.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Second
5889
#39
11.40.3
9.710.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End0.6
red by 1.6
9244
#38
9.81.1
9.310.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Third
6809
#41
9.20.3
6.06.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End1.6
red by 4.5
9007
#36
4.71.1
5.16.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed