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Red36
66212.5
432921.5
555020.3
Blue53
203617.2
173023.0
40058.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544701001502002503653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.3
18.116.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
blue by 1.6
23.00.5
22.723.2
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
20.31.3
17.115.7
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End1.5
red by 3.1
17.20.5
11.512.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
662
#26
12.51.3
12.911.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.8
red by 4.0
4005
#35
8.50.5
9.39.8
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed