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Red21
602612.6
42939.9
35075.7
Blue72
450024.1
449924.8
120918.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376220801002172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6026
#31
12.63.0
14.411.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End1.3
blue by 12.2
4499
#13
24.81.0
20.821.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
Second
4293
#23
9.93.0
12.59.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End1.1
blue by 14.2
24.11.0
21.522.5
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Third
3507
#34
5.73.0
9.46.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 12.3
1209
#10
18.01.0
10.611.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed