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Red38
66212.5
294517.7
3112.4
Blue40
77446.7
555020.3
871110.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433102060803840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#12
17.70.0
13.313.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 2.6
20.31.1
15.716.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End1.5
Second
662
#26
12.50.0
11.611.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.8
red by 2.3
8711
#19
10.21.1
5.36.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Third
31
#25
12.40.0
12.912.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 5.7
7744
#30
6.71.1
8.79.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed