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Red59
203617.2
94725.2
642432.5
Blue43
946211.8
235210.5
156116.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340204060801005943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.7
25.826.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.1
End4.2
red by 16.2
1561
#28
16.31.1
15.516.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Second
17.20.7
12.012.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 5.5
9462
#15
11.81.1
9.210.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Third
9472
#32
5.20.7
4.95.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
blue by 5.2
2352
#33
10.51.1
8.09.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed