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Red56
23954.2
181914.9
11826.9
Blue42
216512.7
602612.6
449924.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4952404555605642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#5
26.90.6
25.426.0
Auto9.4
Teleop14.2
End3.3
red by 2.1
4499
#13
24.80.5
21.821.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
Second
1819
#14
14.91.0
14.115.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End0.6
red by 2.2
2165
#40
12.70.5
13.613.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
2395
#42
4.21.0
5.56.5
Auto2.5
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 8.4
6026
#31
12.60.5
11.410.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed