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Red65
316015.4
294517.7
203617.2
Blue72
941016.4
68099.2
642432.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41522060801006572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#12
17.71.8
13.415.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 14.8
32.51.0
26.527.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.1
End4.2
Second
17.21.8
12.714.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 0.8
9410
#18
16.41.0
12.913.9
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End1.8
Third
3160
#24
15.41.8
12.714.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 6.2
6809
#41
9.21.0
6.77.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned