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Red47
173023.0
77446.7
216512.7
Blue56
181914.9
328416.7
602612.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514002060804756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.5
22.021.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 6.3
3284
#16
16.70.9
11.612.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End0.6
Second
2165
#40
12.70.5
13.012.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 2.2
1819
#14
14.90.9
15.116.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End0.6
Third
7744
#30
6.70.5
9.89.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 5.9
6026
#31
12.60.9
10.811.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed