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Red81
233318.8
449924.8
11826.9
Blue32
45239.3
299619.9
441813.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7744020601001208132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#5
26.90.7
26.026.7
Auto9.4
Teleop14.2
End3.3
red by 6.9
2996
#11
19.91.8
20.218.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
4499
#13
24.81.2
21.322.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
red by 11.1
4418
#17
13.71.8
12.811.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End0.4
Third
18.81.2
18.219.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 9.5
4523
#21
9.31.8
10.68.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed