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Red37
96318.8
27737.9
548421.4
Blue67
294517.7
432921.5
92449.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384810203060703767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.1
21.221.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.2
End1.1
blue by 0.1
21.51.6
18.820.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
9631
#43
8.80.1
9.49.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 8.9
2945
#12
17.71.6
15.116.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
2773
#37
7.90.1
5.45.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 1.8
9244
#38
9.81.6
8.09.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned