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Red32
92449.8
941016.4
297211.0
Blue34
946211.8
66212.5
449924.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30460204060803234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#18
16.416.6
26.19.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End1.8
blue by 8.4
4499
#13
24.80.6
20.319.7
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
Second
2972
#22
11.00.3
10.610.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 1.5
662
#26
12.50.6
10.29.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Third
9244
#38
9.80.3
9.19.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 2.0
9462
#15
11.85.3
13.88.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed