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Red39
216512.7
27737.9
299619.9
Blue89
642432.5
548421.4
346514.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801003989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#11
19.90.3
13.513.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 12.6
32.54.5
17.021.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.1
End4.2
Second
2165
#40
12.70.3
12.212.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 8.6
21.42.7
16.919.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Third
2773
#37
7.90.3
10.911.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 6.7
3465
#20
14.74.5
9.714.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed