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Red47
27737.9
555020.3
173023.0
Blue80
316015.4
642432.5
297211.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49602030407080901004780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.1
20.921.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End2.7
blue by 9.5
32.52.2
28.931.1
Auto13.1
Teleop15.1
End4.2
Second
20.30.1
19.219.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End1.5
red by 4.9
3160
#24
15.42.2
14.116.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Third
2773
#37
7.90.1
5.55.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 3.1
2972
#22
11.02.4
9.812.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned