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Red49
120918.0
181914.9
588911.4
Blue41
94725.2
40058.5
294517.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51330204060801004941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#10
18.00.5
15.616.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End0.9
red by 0.3
2945
#12
17.70.1
16.716.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Second
1819
#14
14.90.5
15.516.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End0.6
red by 6.4
4005
#35
8.50.1
8.68.5
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Third
5889
#39
11.40.5
12.613.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End0.6
red by 6.1
9472
#32
5.20.1
6.36.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned