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Red90
328416.7
299619.9
203617.2
Blue22
23954.2
235911.9
92449.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53260204060809022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#11
19.92.5
17.519.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 8.0
2359
#29
11.90.7
10.19.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Second
17.22.5
14.216.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 7.5
9244
#38
9.80.6
9.58.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Third
3284
#16
16.72.6
12.815.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End0.6
red by 12.5
2395
#42
4.20.6
6.96.3
Auto2.5
Teleop0.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed