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Red47
294517.7
602612.6
235210.5
Blue47
449924.8
316015.4
40058.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395402060801004747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#12
17.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 7.1
4499
#13
24.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
Second
6026
#31
12.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End1.3
blue by 2.8
3160
#24
15.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Third
2352
#33
10.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End0.7
red by 2.0
4005
#35
8.5
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed