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Red14
94725.2
588911.4
23954.2
Blue62
941016.4
235911.9
27737.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283201020405060701462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5889
#39
11.41.0
13.112.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 5.1
9410
#18
16.42.5
13.716.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End1.8
Second
9472
#32
5.21.0
6.35.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
blue by 6.7
2359
#29
11.92.5
9.411.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Third
2395
#42
4.21.0
6.35.2
Auto2.5
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 3.8
2773
#37
7.92.3
5.67.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed