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Red64
548421.4
203617.2
35075.7
Blue24
297211.0
181914.9
77446.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50392060806424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.0
21.221.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.2
End1.1
red by 6.4
1819
#14
14.91.3
16.014.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End0.6
Second
17.20.0
16.716.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 6.2
2972
#22
11.01.4
12.210.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
3507
#34
5.70.0
5.75.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 1.0
7744
#30
6.71.3
8.06.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed