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Red54
294517.7
432921.5
45239.3
Blue45
449924.8
203617.2
346514.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5366204060801001205445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.1
21.721.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
blue by 3.3
4499
#13
24.80.6
25.424.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
Second
2945
#12
17.70.1
18.017.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
red by 0.5
17.20.5
17.717.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
4523
#21
9.30.1
9.49.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.4
End0.2
blue by 5.4
3465
#20
14.70.5
15.214.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2