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Red54
297211.0
548421.4
328416.7
Blue64
156116.3
432921.5
294517.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526302040801005464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.1
21.221.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.2
End1.1
blue by 0.1
21.50.1
21.621.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
3284
#16
16.70.2
16.516.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End0.6
blue by 1.0
2945
#12
17.70.1
17.917.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
2972
#22
11.00.2
10.911.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 5.3
1561
#28
16.30.1
16.516.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End0.5