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Red65
173023.0
317913.0
642432.5
Blue64
449924.8
203617.2
346514.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776020401001206564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.3
31.931.6
Auto13.1
Teleop15.1
End4.2
red by 7.7
4499
#13
24.80.2
24.724.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
Second
23.00.3
22.422.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 5.8
17.20.2
17.117.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
3179
#27
13.00.3
13.313.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End1.8
blue by 1.6
3465
#20
14.70.2
14.614.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2