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Red60
297211.0
548421.4
328416.7
Blue48
233318.8
3112.4
441813.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544902040801001201401606048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.2
21.121.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.2
End1.1
red by 2.6
18.80.1
18.818.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Second
3284
#16
16.70.2
16.316.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End0.6
red by 3.0
4418
#17
13.70.1
13.713.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End0.4
Third
2972
#22
11.00.2
10.610.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 1.3
31
#25
12.40.1
12.412.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End1.9