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Red61
132530.1
958016.6
702213.9
Blue30
68648.6
491722.2
54087.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434430405060706130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.4
22.323.7
Auto8.5
Teleop19.8
End1.7
red by 7.9
22.22.0
19.017.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
16.61.4
11.112.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
red by 7.9
6864
#12
8.62.0
9.06.9
Auto1.5
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Third
7022
#17
13.92.3
7.09.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 6.7
5408
#26
7.22.0
10.28.2
Auto1.1
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned