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Red34
909827.4
50317.1
77222.5
Blue50
468813.3
97826.6
490729.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3646102030405060703450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.3
26.125.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End2.9
blue by 2.0
29.41.0
23.925.0
Auto13.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Second
5031
#22
7.10.3
2.62.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 6.3
4688
#19
13.31.0
11.412.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.0
Third
7722
#25
2.50.6
5.44.8
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8
blue by 4.1
9782
#20
6.61.0
5.36.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed