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Red46
959211.8
958016.6
87656.5
Blue22
50317.1
702213.9
76907.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321604060804622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.2
12.412.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
red by 2.7
7022
#17
13.90.5
10.19.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Second
9592
#14
11.80.4
10.010.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4
red by 4.7
5031
#22
7.10.3
2.21.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Third
8765
#15
6.50.4
4.95.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.9
blue by 0.5
7690
#27
7.00.5
4.43.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed