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Red50
491722.2
40157.3
909827.4
Blue75
808116.8
587012.7
132530.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5543020801001205075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.1
26.726.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End2.9
blue by 2.7
30.12.3
24.726.9
Auto8.5
Teleop19.8
End1.7
Second
22.20.2
17.818.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 5.4
8081
#13
16.83.8
11.014.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
4015
#18
7.30.1
4.04.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 5.3
12.73.8
5.08.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed